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Several talking heads referred to “March Madness” to describe the tens of millions of dollars spent to win a congressional seat that won’t be on the ballot in the May 22 Pennsylvania primary.
In the early hours of Wednesday morning, Conor Lamb, the Democratic nominee for Congress in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, made a calculated decision to declare victory.
Move - Heels - Allegheny - County - Absentee
His move came on the heels of Allegheny County’s absentee ballots, taking the race from a scant 95-vote margin to a seemingly insurmountable one.
If Lamb’s victory holds up, it is undoubtedly an upset. But if it had come at the beginning of the campaign, rather than after the 100-day slog through southwestern Pennsylvania, it would have been a true shocker. The race should have been close.
Congressional - District - Pennsylvania - Registration - Republican
The 18th Congressional District of Pennsylvania, while still Democratic by registration, has been voting Republican for the past two decades. Donald Trump carried the district by nearly 20 points. Mitt Romney wasn’t far behind that margin, posting a 17-point victory as the Republican Party’s presidential nominee in 2012.. The district is generally 11+ Republican. In the last two congressional races, the Democrats didn’t even field a candidate. The last time they did, he lost by almost 30 points.
If Lamb’s lead and his declaration of victory holds up, it will provide the Democrats with bragging rights and pundits with several days’ worth of nitpicking.
Victory - Lap - One - Bragging - Rights
The victory lap may be a short one, though, and the bragging rights short-lived for the district seat that was up for grabs on Tuesday night. It won’t even be on the ballot on Primary Election Day, just two months hence. The district is vanishing as Lamb and Rick Saccone slugged it out for the seat vacated by Tim Murphy’s resignation last year.
That strangest of election scenarios is the result of the Pennsylvania Supreme Court’s decision...
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