SAG and PGA Awards 2020: What the ‘Parasite’ and ‘1917’ Wins Mean for a Tight Oscar Race

IndieWire | 1/1/2020 | Staff
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With a surprise “Parasite” win for Cast in a Motion Picture, the SAG Awards forecast a dramatic and possibly historic race for the Best Picture Oscar.

Last year, “Black Panther” and “Bohemian Rhapsody” picked up momentum after key SAG Awards wins, while “Vice” and “A Star Is Born” lost it. This year, after their charming and make-nice speeches, the four SAG film acting winners, Joaquin Phoenix (“Joker”), Renee Zellweger (“Judy”), Laura Dern (“Marriage Story”) and Brad Pitt (“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”) are on a straight course to win on Oscar night.

Frontrunners - Votes - Oscar - Poll - Thanks

Other frontrunners are also starting to become clear as various guild votes come in. But winning your Oscar poll will not be easy thanks to the preferential ballot and a rapidly changing membership. The 120,000 SAG-AFTRA voters, who tend to be more mainstream than the Academy, enthusiastically backed “Parasite.” The die was cast early in the evening, when the cast led by a grinning Song Kang Ho took the stage to introduce their film — and were met with a standing ovation. So when they won the top prize at the end of the night as the crowd cheered on their feet, Oscar watchers started to ask if the same could repeat February 9.

Goodwill and excitement around the movie is palpable. People who fight bitterly over Todd Phillips’ “Joker” (which leads the Oscar field with 11 nominations and may have to settle for wins for Actor and Score) and three movies with 10 nods each — Martin Scorsese’s “The Irishman” (which could wind up with nothing), Sam Mendes’ one-shot tech feat “1917,” and Quentin Tarantino’s elegiac show business fable “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” — are cheering every “Parasite” win.

Parasite - Academy - History - Feature - Film

“Parasite” could make Academy history as the first international feature film to win the coveted Best Picture Oscar. The...
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