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The world's largest central banks are preparing for a policy u-turn, some have questioned whether 'more of the same' from the ECB will be enough to revive the continent's moribund economy. In fact, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink speculated that the ECB would need to start buying stocks for its stimulus to have any impact - though he acknowledged that there would be repercussions.
On Tuesday, just hours after his bank reported its best Q2 results in nine years, UBS Chief Sergio Ermotti sat down for an interview with Bloomberg and warned that the next round of monetary easing, which could begin with the ECB later this week, might risk bursting the tremendous asset bubble that has formed over the past decade of QE-driven policy.
Balance - Sheet - Banks - Ermotti - Risk
"I’d be very, very careful about growing further the balance sheet of central banks," Ermotti said. "We are at a risk of creating an asset bubble."
If Europe wants to revive economic growth, it needs to focus on political and economic reforms, not rely on central bank money printing, which accomplishes little aside from inflating asset prices.
ECB - Transition - Solution - Problem - Ermotti
The ECB "can only help in a transition, it's not a solution to the problem," Ermotti said.
Unfortunately, at this point, the ECB is probably already set on its policy path. A team of analysts at Goldman Sachs laid out three "bundles" which Mario Draghi could unveil later this week as he sets the bank back on course for more stimulus before handing the reins to Christine Lagarde later this year. These "bundles" include small, medium and large bundles...
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