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The unrelenting deforestation of the Amazon region could lead to a dramatic increase to the risk of destructive wildfire outbreaks, research has shown.
The new study suggests that unrestrained deforestation, converting rainforest to agricultural land, could expand the areas at risk of wildfires by more than 70 percent by the end of the century.
Response - Team - Researchers - Dr - Luiz
In response, the international team of researchers, including Dr. Luiz Aragão from the University of Exeter, suggest that concerted efforts to improve sustainable land management in the area could provide the best method of defense over the coming decades.
The study is published in the prestigious journal Global Change Biology.
Research - Team - National - Institute - Space
The research team, led by the National Institute of Space Research (INPE) and the Centre for Disaster Research and Monitoring (CEMADEN) in Brazil and also including Stockholm University, used sophisticated modeling techniques to conduct the study.
It showed that policies such as the construction and paving of new highways, increased deforestation and reducing the effectiveness of protected areas could dramatically increase the risk of wildfires.
IPCC´s - CMIP5 - Climate - Change - Scenario
Crucially, when coupled with the IPCC´s CMIP5 pessimistic climate change scenario, which projects increased greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions throughout the 21st century, the area with high probability of wildfires could increase by up to 110%.
"For the first time, we have been able to demonstrate that although the climate is changing,...
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