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Researchers have detailed a new method to predict spikes in violence during times of war and terrorism.
In a new study, researchers analyzing a total of 273 armed conflicts and 60 terrorist campaigns identified patterns that appear to exist across the board, regardless of geography, ethnicity, and religion.
Experts - Breakthrough - Nature - Conflict
The experts say the breakthrough could help us better understand the nature of human conflict.
In the study published this month to the journal PLOS One, a team from Royal Holloway and George Washington University analyzed event-size data from nine modern conflicts.
Factor - Number - Fatalities - Event - Suicide
This factor is determined by the number of fatalities resulting from the event, such as a suicide bombing or air strike.
The researchers looked at hundreds of conflicts from 1989 to 2016, using what are known as split-sample techniques to predict patterns on the size distribution of such events in the future.
Method - Non-standard
The method pursues ‘a rather non-standard...
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