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A poll released by Axios-Survey Monkey on Tuesday shows that several incumbent Democrat senators in states Donald Trump won in 2016 up for re-election in 2018 are in danger of losing in November.
The poll was conducted in 13 states with competitive Senate races this November over a three week period, beginning on June 11 and ending July 2. About 1,000 respondents were surveyed in each state, and the margin of error for the results in each head-to-head Senate race is about 4.5 percent.
Red - State - Democrat - Senators - Florida
Incumbent Red State Democrat senators in Florida, Indiana, and North Dakota are all losing to their Republican challengers, though the results in all three states are within the margin of error.
In Florida, Republican Gov. Rick Scott leads Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) 49 percent to 46 percent among registered voters.
Indiana - Republican - Nominee - Businessman - Mike
In Indiana, Republican nominee and businessman Mike Braun leads Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) 49 percent to 47 percent among registered voters.
Axios-Survey Monkey ran a number of scenarios in each of these states based on different turnout models among likely voters, and those results are even more troubling for the three incumbent Democrat Senators.
Florida - Scott - Point - Lead - Nelson
In Florida, Scott holds a three point lead over Nelson in the high Democrat turnout model, with a nine point lead in the high Republican turnout model.
In Indiana, Braun holds a one point lead over Nelson in the high Democrat turnout model, and an eight point lead in the high Republican turnout model.
Things - Democrats - Poll - States - Pickup
Things are even worse for the Democrats in this poll in one of the states where some were hoping for a pickup.
In Tennessee, Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) holds a 14 point lead over Democrat Phil Bredesen among registered voters, a 14 point lead in the high Democrat turnout model, and a 19 point lead in the high Republican turnout model.
Arizona - Democrats
In Arizona, where Democrats have long...
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