Box Office Preview: ‘Solo’ Tries to Rebound From Rough Start

Variety | 5/30/2018 | Rebecca Rubin
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Was “Solo: A Star Wars Story’s” disappointing opening a case of franchise fatigue or the result of tentpole overcrowding at the box office? Its sophomore weekend could help crystallize what went wrong and where the “Star Wars” spinoff goes from here.

A strong holdover from the Han Solo origin story would signal that perhaps moviegoers were still barbecuing or catching up on “Deadpool 2” over the holiday weekend, rather than dismissing the storied franchise’s latest outing. The “Star Wars” installment is eyeing between $50 million and $60 million at the domestic box office over the weekend. Even if it reaches the higher part of that range, it’s unlikely “Solo” will hit the second weekend totals of its predecessors. The first “Star Wars” anthology film, “Rogue One,” made $64 million in its second weekend in 2016, while 2017’s “The Last Jedi” earned $71 million in its sophomore weekend.

Disney - Lucasfilm - Anthology - Film - Way

Disney and Lucasfilm’s second anthology film came in way under estimates, stumbling over the Memorial Day weekend with $103 million domestically and $84 million overseas off its $250 million budget.

“Deadpool 2” should make around $25 million-$30 million in its third frame. As of Tuesday, Ryan Reynold’s superhero sequel topped the $500 million mark worldwide in under two weeks. The 21st Century Fox film has earned $218.5 million in North America, along with $287 million internationally.

Fox - Release - Deadpool - Weeks - May

Since Fox moved the release of “Deadpool 2” up by two weeks to May 18, no other tentpole releases had filled the slot. Three new films will provide counter-programming against the recent takeover of action-adventure titles.

'Solo': How Big a Box Office Dud Is the 'Star Wars' Spinoff?

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