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Three quarters of a million new school places are needed in England in the next ten years amid a baby boom fuelled by migration.
An official forecast from the Department for Education said a bulge in pupil numbers will continue for the next decade, with 750,000 new places needed by 2025.
Schools - Years - Pupil - Numbers - Buildings
By then, schools will have faced 16 consecutive years of rising pupil numbers with many having to expand buildings or squeeze more children into classrooms.
Between 2009 and 2016, the school system already expanded to take in an extra 470,000 pupils.
Projection - Cent - Pupils - State - School
And from 2016 to 2025, the projection says there will be another 10 per cent of pupils in the state school system, up from about 7.4 million to about 8.1 million.
The increase has been driven by a rising birth rate - and the analysis says this reflects an increasing number of non-UK born mothers, who tend to have bigger families.
Forecast - Immigration - Pupils - Effect
The forecast says 'direct immigration of pupils' has had only a very small effect.
Head teachers' leaders have warned that the rising pupil numbers will make it even harder for parents to get their preferred choice of school.
Department - Education - £7bn - Places
However, the Department for Education says it has committed £7bn to extra places.
The official forecast is used by the government to plan for future numbers of school places, classrooms, buildings and teaching staff.
Projection - Population - Bulge - Years - Increase
The projection shows that the population bulge is moving through the secondary years - but that the increase in primary numbers is slowing.
The primary population is now 4.5 million - and the forecast predicts this will rise to 4.68 million in four years' time when it will stabilise.
School - Census - Month - Pressure - Places
The annual school census, published last month, showed the pressure on places had increased the average size of a primary school by 30 pupils, equivalent to an extra class.
But the next big increase will be in secondary schools,...
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