Will Vote for Kavanaugh Cost Susan Collins Her Senate Seat?

Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion | 8/18/2019 | Fuzzy Slippers
chrismpotts (Posted by) Level 3
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Sen. Susan Collins (R) is seeking reelection in 2020, but there are some growing signs that it will not be an easy bid for the centrist Maine lawmaker. Collins’ waffling during the confirmation hearings of Justice Brett Kavanaugh won her few (if any) friends or admirers on either the right or the left.

And now the Cook Political Report has moved Collins’ 2020 Senate race from “leans Republican” to “toss up.”

Hill

The Hill reports:

The Cook Political Report shifted its forecast of the Maine Senate election from “lean Republican” to “toss-up” on Friday, signaling a tight reelection race for Sen. Susan Collins (R).

Collins - Reelection - Bid - Points - Tighter

Collins won her last reelection bid in 2014 by more than 30 points but is expected to face a much tighter race this time around, with the leader of the state’s House of Representatives, Sara Gideon (D), announcing she would challenge the four-term senator.

A press release Friday from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) claimed that the incumbent senator’s support had cratered in the state following her confirmation vote for Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh last year, a controversial vote that Democrats argue pushed her outside the label of “moderate.”

String - News - Incumbent - Support - Mainers

“This is the latest in a string of bad news for the vulnerable incumbent, who has continued to lose support among Mainers and seen her net approval drop by a ‘stunning’ amount since President Trump took office,” the DSCC said in a press release, quoting a Morning Consult analysis.

You can view the Cook Political Report‘s 2020 Senate race ratings here.

News - July - FiveThirtyEight - Mitch - McConnell

Some of that bad news was reported in July when FiveThirtyEight noted that “Mitch McConnell Is The Only Senator More Unpopular Than Susan Collins” and Bloomberg noted, based on the same polling, that Collins’ approval was underwater in her home state.

Collins stated at the time that she believed that her record of bipartisanship...
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